A Stat I Stole:
“Dating from the
2011-12 season, up to and including last night’s Game 2, the Heat and the Spurs
have played 14 games. In those 14 games, the Heat have scored a total of 1,385
points and the Spurs have scored 1,386 points.”
Manu’s “clutch”
and meaningless 3 at the buzzer last night puts the Spurs up one for this fake
stat.
And another stat I stole: In the third quarter of Game
Two, the teams combined for 69 points with only two turnovers between
them. That,
my friends, is some good playing.
All this led to the result – A
down to the wire game that the Heat won. (If
you didn’t know the Heat won, you are not allowed to read further.)
You will hear that this game “was decided in the last minute”, or perhaps in
“the last 1:17” which is when Bosh made the three pointer to change a one point deficit into a two point lead. In
fact, games are never decided in the last minute. All the plays
that happen earlier also
decide the final score. Put another way, the points scored or
allowed in the first quarter happen to count just as much as the points scored
or allowed in the fourth.
Put yet another way, I used to tell my players – “this isn’t
Double Jeopardy”. In the TV game show that has been on the air since
before television was invented, correct “questions”
in the second round count double. In basketball, points in the
second half count the same as those scored earlier. Which
means that all these earlier moments helped decide Game Two:
SECOND QUARTER, SPURS UP 30 -19. Bellinelli
misses wide open 3, so the Spurs don’t score. On the subsequent
possession, both Bellinelli and Diaw go with the roller in a pick and roll
situation, instead of some guy with the ball named Ray Allen. Allen
drills the wide-open three.
After a steal by Kawhi Leonard, Tiago Splitter decides to go
“coast to coast”
with the ball, crashing
into traffic at the rim. Unfortunately, Splitter doesn’t make it all the
way to the coast, instead running into a roadblock near San Bernardino.
The Spurs don’t score.
The next time Splitter gets the ball, he wisely gives it to
another Spur. Unfortunately, that Spur then gives the ball back to
Splitter, who then decides to give it to Miami. The Spurs don’t
score.
So even though Miami only scored the gift three to Allen,
the Spurs miss the chance to go up something like 37 –
22. Instead, when the Spurs miss a couple more shots, Miami decides to
score some themselves, and the game goes from a big Spurs lead to a
dogfight. I would have preferred the big lead.
Here is that skirmish, one that caused me to write in my
notes: “Worst Two Minutes Ever”. An exaggeration, but the Splitter “coast
to coast” was still fresh in my memory banks.
10:18
|
19-30
|
Kawhi
Leonard misses jumper
|
|
10:17
|
19-30
|
Tiago
Splitter offensive rebound
|
|
10:06
|
Ray
Allen personal foul (Marco Belinelli draws the foul)
|
19-30
|
|
9:55
|
19-30
|
Marco
Belinelli misses 25-foot three point jumper
|
|
9:53
|
LeBron
James defensive rebound
|
19-30
|
|
9:40
|
Ray
Allen makes 25-foot three point jumper
|
22-30
|
|
9:38
|
Spurs Full
timeout
|
||
9:38
|
22-30
|
Tony
Parker enters the game for Patty Mills
|
|
9:38
|
Rashard
Lewis enters the game for Chris Andersen
|
22-30
|
|
9:17
|
22-30
|
Tony
Parker lost ball turnover (Dwyane Wade steals)
|
|
9:07
|
Dwyane
Wade lost ball turnover (Kawhi Leonard steals)
|
22-30
|
|
9:02
|
22-30
|
Chris
Bosh blocks Tiago Splitter's layup
|
|
9:00
|
Ray
Allen defensive rebound
|
22-30
|
|
8:45
|
Rashard
Lewis misses 23-foot three point jumper
|
22-30
|
|
8:45
|
22-30
|
Tiago
Splitter defensive rebound
|
|
8:33
|
22-30
|
Tiago
Splitter bad pass (Ray Allen steals)
|
|
8:29
|
Dwyane
Wade makes layup (LeBron James assists)
|
24-30
|
|
8:00
|
24-30
|
Kawhi
Leonard misses 16-foot jumper
|
|
7:58
|
LeBron
James defensive rebound
|
24-30
|
|
7:52
|
LeBron
James makes layup
|
26-30
|
|
7:37
|
26-30
|
Tony
Parker misses three point jumper
|
|
7:35
|
LeBron
James defensive rebound
|
26-30
|
|
7:31
|
LeBron
James makes layup
|
28-30
|
And here is a play that led to two free throws, and another
two points that made the difference, and not just because the fake foul call on
Manu was his third. I hope the NBA fines DWade, though I would rather
have the two points back.
I understand Manu was shocked,
just shocked, that flopping is going on in here.
The Spurs also gave away two
points at the end of the first quarter. On an inbounds play in front of
the Spurs bench with 3 seconds left, Splitter set a screen away from the ball,
immediately slipped the screen and cut to the rim, was hit with a perfect pass
– and air-balled the lay-up. Coaches love drawing up these types
of plays. Less so when your seven-footer doesn’t hit the rim with the
shot.
Of course, the other points “given
away” were the four consecutive free throws the Spurs missed after the Mario
Chalmers flagrant foul elbow to Parker’s rib cage. That elbow could have
broken a rib, and certainly led to Parker short-arming each of his two free
throws. For good measure, and perhaps in a show of solidarity, Tim Duncan
then immediately short-armed his two free throws moments later. Four
points the Spurs didn’t score, and which would have been nice to have in the
bank during the last five minutes.
In
those last five minutes, Miami largely went “big big”. They removed
Chalmers, played Lebron as “point guard”, kept Birdman as the 5, with
Bosh/Voldemort as 4, with Wade and Allen as wings. This put Lebron on
Parker (as the Heat did for much of Games 6 and 7) and allowed the Heat to
switch most screens, effectively bolloxing up the Spurs offense.
BOLLOX, alt. bollix: to do (something)
badly; bungle (often followed by up ): His interference bollixed up the whole
deal.
One other reason the Spurs offense got bollixed up is Duncan’s inability to score on a post-up. After the game, Pop was talking about the necessity for the Spurs to move the ball and players in order to score:
"It's how we have to score," Popovich said. "We can't put it in somebody's hands and have them create everything for us. It's got to be a group effort and we didn't do that. That puts a lot of pressure on everything else. It means we're going to have to be perfect on defense, we can't miss four free throws in a row, those sorts of things. You move it or you die."
In the old days, the Spurs could put it in Duncan’s hands and he would create. He would score if not double teamed, or pass to shooters and cutters if doubled. Now, virtually all of Duncan’s points are created by someone else – a penetration, a seal and drop pass, or a tip in of a missed shot. He still gets his 20 per game on this stuff (he has great hands and instincts), but the days of dumping the ball into TD in the post and having good things happen are gone. The Spurs were hoping that Kawhi Leonard might be the guy who could create. That hasn’t happened yet in this series (unlike last year’s Finals, when he was the breakout star).
Other thoughts:
1.
The Spurs going
on the road for Games 3 and 4 does not scare them as much as it would other
teams. The Spurs were 30 – 11 on the road this year. Put another
way, if they played the entire season on the road, their projected record would
have been 60 - 22. That would have
been the best record in the NBA this year.
2.
Another reason
for some level of confidence: Lebron
shot 11 times in the second half, all from distance. He made 5 of 8 “long
2s”, all well-defended, several with the shot clock winding down. During
the season, he shot 38% on long 2s. He went 3 for 3 from three.
During the season, he did not shoot 100% from three.
3.
The Spurs had 11
offensive rebounds on 46 misses, a decent but not great 24% -- but still much
better than Miami’s 5 on 43 misses, 12%. Of course, the Spurs gave away
this six possession advantage by not shooting as well as
the Heat, either from the field or the free throw line.
4.
Watch
this play – so much is going on. This is the Bosh 3 with 1:17 left in the
fourth. Click on the picture for the GIF. From the top:
Parker is fronting Chalmers, who is setting a ball screen
for Lebron. But instead of stepping in front of Lebron, Parker picks off
Leonard. Fronting the screener can be effective, but Parker is facing the wrong way. If he faces
Lebron, he might blow up the screen and roll – instead Parker blows up
Leonard. Duncan comes from the weakside to cut off the drive – but it
should have been Diaw helping. Diaw was covering DWade in the corner, instead of
Duncan leaving the better shooter, Bosh. Leonard, wiped out by Parker on
the screen, nonetheless (showing remarkable instincts and hustle) recovers
to run at Bosh in the distant corner – but the perfectly
timed pass to Bosh allows him to catch and release before Leonard can
get there. And the Heat, down two, go up by one and win Game Two. Now everyone
takes their talents to South Beach for Game Three.
As always, feel free to forward. And if you tried to read this on your phone, your appreciation of the finer points of this fake blog will be enhanced by reading on an actual computer.
No comments:
Post a Comment